Ankara does not want a nuclear-armed Iran any more than it wants a nuclear-armed Israel. The two countries have a common border and a common belief that the Middle East has seen too much interference by foreign powers. Recep Tayyip Erdogan, Turkey's prime minister and, like Lula, the leader of an emerging regional power, has a more direct interest in what happens in Iran. Those who turn down that possibility, or who think that sanctions or other measures would get us closer, they'll have to take responsibility for that." Such robust language is an eloquent expression of the changing power dynamic between the old superpower and its new rivals. "We have a chance to achieve a peaceful, negotiated solution. Without unanimity in the council, new sanctions are even less likely to be honoured or effectively implemented than is already the case now.īrazil's foreign minister, Celso Amorim, also warned Washington to think again. Reacting angrily to Clinton's implied suggestion that somehow they had been suckered into the uranium deal by the crafty Iranians, Maria Luiza Ribeiro Viotti, Brazil's ambassador to the UN, said Brazil would not co-operate with US-initiated security council discussions on a new resolution. The time will come when that will change – but not yet.
For most part, Beijing avoids open fights with the Americans and their west-European allies. But their leaders' overriding priority is to build up their countries' economic strengths. China and India are the foremost members of this pack. Lula speaks for a world that was formed in the west's image but is increasingly rejecting its tutelage and its ideas. More broadly, Lula has championed the cause of emerging countries, challenged the rich world's assumptions at the Copenhagen climate summit, and bearded the US over Cuba and Hugo Chávez. He gave Clinton fair warning earlier this year that it was "not prudent to push Iran against a wall". Lula da Silva, Brazil's popular president, typifies this outlook. It helps that neither country feels threatened by Tehran. In the case of Iran, instead of ultimatums, deadlines and sanctions, they prefer dialogue. Brazil and Turkey, two leading members of a new premier league of emerging global powers, have a quite different approach.
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